A decline in price levels is referred to as deflation. It is the opposite of inflation in the sense that inflation usually leads to rising prices. Despite of all the facts, deflation can be a very dangerous situation, while in one sense consumers may welcome a decline in price levels. Generally, economies do not like severe inflation or deflation and both these situations can be volatile and full of worries.

It makes money Valuable
Deflation makes money more valuable and it is similar to as inflation makes money less valuable. As such, deflation occurs at times when interest rates are high and the lock on money is tight, thus all these factors create such a situation where there is a reduction in credit.
4 Reasons for the occurrence of Deflation
In fact, there are four reasons due to which deflation can occur.
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If there is an increased demand for money,
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If there is an increased supply of goods,
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If there is a decreased supply of money or
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If there is a decreased demand for goods.
Measures to be taken to fight fears of deflation
Probably the most common way to fight fears of deflation is for the national bank to increase the supply of money. In the United States, this is the responsibility of the Federal Reserve. Most of the other countries have an institution by which similar functions are performed. Situations related to the money supply, both in terms of deflation and inflation are monitored by The Federal Reserve (Fed), and it seeks to act accordingly.

What is actually done by FED to control deflation?
However, increasing the money supply does not merely means that the government just open the vaults and allow anyone in to take it. As if this would be the situation, the problem would quickly switch from deflation to inflation. Therefore, this thing is accomplished by Fed through interest rates. What FED actually do is that in a period of deflation, the Fed lowers interest rates, thus it encourages banks to borrow more and lend it out at lower rates.
Small changes in Interest rates, bigger changes in Economic conditions
Usually, major waves within the financial community can be created by just small changes in the Fed interest rates. These will likely be felt both domestically and internationally. Due to the reason that FED has got this power, the Fed usually only cuts rates a fraction of a percentage point at a time and then it waits to see what effect it will have before that it decides on future cuts or increases. The purpose of doing all these things is just to find an equilibrium that will help the economy and decrease volatility. Stability is the key in financial matters.
Not all price decrease are due to Deflation
Here you need to note that not all price decreases are the result of deflation causing an economic crisis. Companies may always be looking at such ways with which they can find efficiencies in production. By the consumer these efficiencies are often seen in the form of a decline in price levels. However, it is easy to identify efficiencies in production and professional analysts do not easily get confused by them, possibly these efficiencies might be applied to one type of product or even within one certain company, not an overall economy. If there are more than one sector of the economy that are affected by price declines, then only we can say that it is all because of deflation.
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Posted by R. MAK. in Forex Basics · 0 Comment
